Showing posts with label Irish Presidency. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Irish Presidency. Show all posts
Anthony McIntyre  A couple of weeks ago my wife drew my attention to a Sunday Business Post headline.

It stated 'Most voters don’t want either Adams or Ahern for the Áras.'

Slightly more people would opt for the former taoiseach over the former Sinn Féin leader in a two-way run off for the presidential election in 2025, but 59 per cent would vote for neither, the latest Business Post/RedC poll reveals.

It would be quite the contest, acerbic thrusts and acidic return serves, sparks aplenty. Not mainly because the unbridled ambition of both contenders will have each kick and gouge the other for advantage, but more due to the type of questioning each is likely to face in the run in. One will be dogged by questions about economic crime, the other quizzed about war crime. 

The speculation about their mutual interest in adding the Aras to their list of properties has been fuelled most recently by the reappearance on the political scene of Bertie Ahern whose membership application was accepted by Fianna Fail. This is something that was not processed as 'somebody here looking to join'. Considerable strategic thought was invested in that one before Party HQ gave the green light.

While it might at first appear mindboggling as to why Fianna Fail, dogged by scandal pertaining to financial impropriety, would court the embers being raked over once again as a result of what might seem an injudicious move. Cui bono? Fianna Fail might.

Welcome back Bertie might be seen as cute hoor maneuvering by the Soldiers of Destiny. The party's strategic intelligence suspects that the former Sinn Fein and IRA leader Gerry Adams is considering furthering his career ambitions by seeking the keys of the one place left open to him in his mid seventies, Aras An Uachtarain. Fianna Fail must also be reasonably confident that Adams would not get across the line on the strength of a vote in Ireland alone. Even if the North were to be allowed to participate the unionists would come out just to vote against him, cancelling out any top-up he might have expected from a northern nationalist electorate.

Adams has been persistent in trying to have the vote in presidential elections extended to the Diaspora.  Fianna Fail calculations are likely to be that enough Irish Americans could either be eye-wiped by Adams or simply don’t care enough about his past not to vote in huge numbers for him. In that scenario there is only one man to pitch against him – the former Taoiseach who acquired a reputation in the US as a result of how he helped usher in the Good Friday Agreement. Adams has already taken a hit in the US as a result of Patrick Radden Keefe's book Say Nothing. The issues raised in that prize winning work are likely to pipe into the mood music of any campaign amongst the diaspora, and Fianna Fail are certain to pump up the volume.  

For Irish society it will be a bumpy ride. Both men who would aspire to be President will have to lie about their pasts. Their mendaciousness will be played out in an international arena to the background of flashing bulbs and media scrums from which all sorts of embarrassing questions will be asked and uncomfortable accusations made. 

This society deserves better than a vanity contest between two huge egos eager to erase or rewrite their past, reinventing themselves in the process for their own good, not ours. Irish society needs a President who will promote it, not one who will use society to promote himself. 

By the time the next election comes around it will be fourteen years since a woman held the office of President. One compelling reason to think it time for another. Someone of the integrity of Bernadette McAliskey - because she has no interest in the pomp and ceremony of high office, because she never has been a career politician - would make an ideal president. Nobody is going to ask her about secret graves or secret accounts. And unlike the covetous Adams or Ahern, she would present perfectly as the Irish presidential equivalent of Uruguay's frugal Pepe Mujica. The voting public can decide if it wants radical dissenting women or cynical dissembling men. Faced with a candidate of the probity of McAliskey would the crowd shout give us the Barabbas Brothers?

If it is to be a two-hyena race between the former leader of Fianna Fail, and the former leader of Sinn Fein, Irish society, whether assailed by the stink of corruption or the stench of decomposition, will have as its man in the Aras, President Pong.
 

⏩ Follow on Twitter @AnthonyMcIntyre.

President Pong

Anthony McIntyre discusses a question posed by Gerry Adams in the Dail earlier this week.

The only surprise about Gerry Adams raising a question for Eoghan Murphy in the Dail this week regarding the anticipated referendum on eligibility to vote in the Irish presidential election, was that he never pushed someone else out in front of him to do it. Usually he pretends to have no interest in these matters, or maintains a faux elder statesman detachment and lets someone else take the flak if it goes awry. That fool Hartley acting off his own bat again type thing. 

Perhaps the poor electoral showing by Sinn Fein caused a bit of nervousness and he sought some sort of reassurance that his long political career might still have a future. I have long thought the eye of Adams has been on Áras an Uachtaráin. The chips just never fell at the right moment. 2025, with him aged 77, it is likely the last chance he has to cash in on all the dissembling and his bogus history of being the IRA's peace advisor.

On the surface the recent election might seem to some to have augured poorly for his hopes. Sinn Fein performed dismally. But he knows which constituency to target for the presidency and that ultimately his chances do not reside in the electorate of the Republic. He understands that the vote he would pull in the South would never be enough to get him across the portal of the Aras. Nor is it enough to have voting rights extended merely to the North. Many nationalists would vote for him but the unionists would be just as likely to come out as a bloc to vote against him, seeing an opportunity to put the final nail in the Master’s coffin. The target audience is the Irish diaspora in the United States. Niall O'Dowd gets this and is understandably worried about Patrick Radden Keefe traducing the reputation of the former IRA chief of staff from New York to Los Angeles. If they are daft enough in New York to make St Patrick's Day Gerry Adams Day, the Big Lad must be thinking Frank Dane had it spot on: Get all the fools on your side and you can be elected to anything. 

Of course it all depends on how widely among the diaspora the franchise is extended. All else being equal, in 2025 he will not be up against a sitting incumbent. He would have stood no chance against Michael D last time around and wisely shoved Liadh Ni Riada out in front. She might not have been a Happy Poppy when the people had spoken, the bastards, but he was. It opened the door wider for himself. Had Ni Riada improved on the vote recorded by Martin McGuinness in 2011 that would have generated a considerable groundswell of opinion within Sinn Fein that she might prove a formidable challenger next time out. No chance of him allowing her to steal his thunder.

Adams might also calculate that Bertie Ahern could run for Fianna Fail. His hope there will be that the more recent stench of corruption is more overwhelming than the older stench of decomposition and that in a two horse race he will emerge as the crooked man best able to walk the crooked mile. 

Old Caudiillo For The Crooked Road

Tommy McKearney feels Sinn Fein were the big losers in the recent presidential election.

Sinn Fein The Losers Party

TPQ welcomes the return of Matt Treacy to blogging @ Brocaire Books where he argues that the push back against political correctness more than anything else led to the high vote for Peter Casey in last week's Irish Presidential election. 

“So, You’re A Racist Now Father?”

Anthony McIntyre writes in advance of tomorrow's presidential election and Blasphemy referendum.

Michael D And The Forgettable Five

Anthony McIntyre reflects on the public displays of approval for British symbolism and institutions from Liadh Ní Riada.

Poppies & Peelers

Radical Unionist and conservative evangelical Christian commentator, Dr John Coulter, uses his Fearless Flying Column today to outline why he, as a Unionist, he wants his name in the running to be the next Irish President.

Coulter For President

Just back home having made my contribution to the presidential outcome. I cast the top vote for Michael D Higgins. Ireland is going to have a President come what may so opting for the candidate least likely to cause problems for society seemed the appropriate way to go. Michael D, while setting nothing alight throughout the campaign, deciding to play it safe and presidential, had the advantage of sounding honest in a bear pit of prevarication and dissembling.  What we saw was basically what we will get if he makes the Aras. He is most likely to be a voice for social justice even if his radicalism falls far short of what his namesake Joe Higgins would prefer.  Whatever the ideological parameters constraining his social vision, social justice is something we would be unlikely to get from the Derry Catholics or Fianna Fail.

Democracy’s Reward