Showing posts with label Scottish Independence. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Scottish Independence. Show all posts
Caoimhin O’Muraile ✒ With the Covid-19 pandemic still running riot across the globe, including the islands of Britain and Ireland should the question of Irish Unification, the “Northern Ireland” Protocol and Scottish Independence be put on hold? 

At least as a temporary measure without allowing the British and Irish Governments to use the pandemic as an excuse to put these questions off the political agenda indefinitely. 

Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s First Minister, stated on the Andrew Marr Show, Sunday 28th November that although independence was still a priority she was making “fighting the pandemic the priority” for the time being. The Scottish Government (such as it is) unlike the Irish (Government of a nation state) will not allow Westminster to fudge independence for Scotland indefinitely, but for now recognises that fighting the pandemic must take preference. 

I have recently come to echo these sentiments as people are queuing up for hospital beds and the number of reported cases grow daily across the island of Ireland. I came to this conclusion before the latest variant of Coronavirus came to light, the Omicron type discovered in South Africa. But this does add to the concern. I think, like the Scottish First Minister, we should, without dropping the argument for a 32-county plebiscite or, at least, a border poll on unification, take a similar line to that of Scotland. We should continue monitoring the levels of Covid-19 infections, because governments are not always as honest as they might be and may wish to keep this ship sailing forever, so for the time being should all efforts not be put into at least getting a handle of the pandemic? By the same token do not believe implicitly all which comes out of the mouth of NPHET (National Public Health Emergency Team) or Dail Eireann.

As we know a new variant of the virus has come to light over the last few days in South Africa and some neighbouring countries sending western governments into supreme panic mode, with no good cause. South Africa has a population of 59 million, about four million higher than England, and according to Doctor Angelique Coetzee who first came across Omicron, there have “been very few hospitalisations” in South Africa with people suffering from the new strain, the effects which appear much milder than previous strains. So why the knee jerk reaction? 

Many South African Scientists are echoing Doctor Coetzee’s views that there is no evidence, as of yet, that this strain is in any way more deadly than its parent. On the contrary, and maybe this is being a little over optimistic, if these scientists are saying there is “no need to panic” over the existence of Omicron because hospital cases are lower than they were with the original strain, could it not mean that these new strains are not going to be the threat of their predecessors? I say new strains because, and let’s be real, many more could be lurking but does this mean they are going to be as deadly? More contagious does not mean more potent! Cautious optimism from a non-qualified person, which is me, but sometimes looking for the silver lining is a good thing. That said, and until more is known about this new strain, best take the cautious approach and not be too complacent. Remember the common cold is highly infectious but nowhere near as deadly as the flu virus can be! Could the same rule apply here?

Even without the hitherto little known of Omicron the case numbers throughout the planet are rising, and this is despite the roll out of the so-called vaccines. Looking at the records of cases it appears to me the vaccines are about 80% efficient, which is far better than no protection at all, so still get the jab and booster is my own belief. Given all the problems with Covid-19 and the emergence of Omicron and who knows how many other strains (be them less harmful or not, we do not yet know) should all energies not be put into combatting the pandemic which may mean, and I repeat only for the time being, putting the question of an Irish unification poll on the backseat of the car, without dropping the debate?

This does not mean throw it out of the vehicle, just place it on the backseat. When, and this should be monitored, the virus has become manageable again then the question will be given the front passenger seat again, so to speak. Neither do I mean we do not speak of the subject as we must keep doing that and keeping unification alive but do not push for a 32 county plebiscite or border poll immediately. Such a poll would cost money, money which could be and should be spent on health. A plebiscite and/or a border poll would also include a mass mobilisation of people which surely would increase the dangers of infection. People would have to attend the polling booths, mix with each other at a time when this may not be most advisable. The same applies to the six counties protocol, and negotiations between the European Union and the United Kingdom, both of whom should be working together on one issue, again for the time being, and that is fighting this pandemic.

There are those, on the republican and loyalist sides, who would want a poll on unification immediately and would wish to continue demonstration against the “Northern Ireland” Protocol no matter what. What does a united Ireland matter if half the population are dead, and the other half seriously ill just for the want of waiting a few months? Or a united Ireland where every citizen must spend their lives behind closed doors on lockdown, what use is that? 

Governments have handled this pandemic terribly to say the least, giving misinformation out and changing their minds every verse end, so we as republicans, socialists and communists are better than this, aren’t we? Of course, there will be many loyalists and a few unionists who will wish to continue putting their communities at risk by demonstrating against the EU Protocol applicable to the six counties despite the population there voting to remain within the European Union back in 2016. Such demonstrations are not helping the fight against the pandemic, though the right to protest must never be removed, but common sense should prevail!

Doctor Cillian De Gascun, a Medical Urologist claims Omicron “is probably present in Ireland.” The fear is “because it is so far removed from the original virus is that we will see more reinfections even in people who have been infected before and will see an impact on vaccine effectiveness”. Despite Dr De Gascun's fears it is wildly believed in medical circles the vaccines will still be effective against Omicron. At the moment it appears according to scientists in South Africa early signs show it may not be as deadly as the previous strains, so let us look on the bright side and not be forced into a state of panic by the negative thinkers, cautious as they may be, while at the same time we should be prioritising our political agenda and is at the moment an immediate plebiscite or border poll, let alone the Protocol our first priority?

Perhaps we should be exercising our efforts into forcing the profit hungry companies like Moderna and Pfizer who produce these vaccines into dropping Intellectual Property Rights which would allow sub-Saharan African countries, where this latest Omicron strain originates, to produce their own vaccines. They have perfectly good scientists, equal to their European or US counterparts, who just lack the tools to produce the required vaccines. It is because companies like the aforementioned, who put profits and their own personal greed above combating this virus, old or new variant. Whether you believe the negative views of Doctor Cillian De Gascun and, it appears Tony Holohan, or the more positive approach, certainly to the new variant, of Dr Angelique Coetzee and others around the globe, the fact remains that poorer countries are not getting vaccinated. This is because they are not allowed to produce their own vaccines under Intellectual Property Rights which are held by the Pfizers and Modernas of this world. Even the USA under Joe Biden has called for these rights to be lifted but the EU is refusing. The question is why? Could it be because profits come over and above all other considerations, including the pandemic? 

One thing is for certain this virus, old and new strands, will not go anywhere until these lands peoples are vaccinated, so give them the tools to do so. This is an important issue because if we do not campaign for this then western governments, including Ireland will put, at best only limited pressure on these companies for fear of upsetting them. Ireland is part of the EU and should be demanding the Union bear every possible pressure on the profiteering giants to lift Intellectual Property Rights on these vaccines. Instead, the 26-county government is applying at very best mild criticism of the EU for not doing enough. Perhaps energies would be better spent on these demands instead of demanding an immediate border poll, important as it is, on Irish unification.

It is time to get real, not only with the pandemic, but the companies who produce the vaccines and their puppet representatives in various parliaments and the European Union who are blocking large portions of the worlds populations from producing their own vaccines. As the saying goes, when it is convenient, “nobody is safe until everybody is safe” and that surely means universal vaccination and equality of access to vaccines.

Caoimhin O’Muraile is Independent 
Socialist Republican and Marxist

Should We Put Irish Unification, Six Counties Protocol, Scottish Independence On The Back Seat?

BarrheadBoy Rants I noticed on Friday that another pro independence party made it through the Electoral Commission vetting. The AFI have had a long struggle however at last they are officially recognised. 

 
You would expect that independence supporters would be welcoming this new option to the independence fight. You would be wrong. Sadly, if the treatment of the ISP is anything to go by alleged Independence supporters will spend more time attacking this new party than promoting it. 

I choose the opposite. I will give AFI my full support as I have with ISP and Scotia Future. I would also respectfully plead all three of them to work out a joint strategy to maximise the outcome do not act like rivals!

Even although up until now I have been promoting the Super Majority for independence by showing my support for SNP1 / ISP2 I will now add caveats over different regions and the progress of AFI. My preferred choice is still a super-Indy majority the colour of the party rosettes is of much less interest to me. 

... The fact that I have urged SNP in the Constituency or only ever voted SNP is overlooked by my detractors.  

Continue reading @ BarrheadBoy Rants.

Awkward Questions

Random Public Journal With The Holyrood Elections on the horizon, the Scottish National Party is asking its supporters and the wider independence movement to give it both their constituency and their regional list votes. 

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By Jason Michael 

Deputy First Minister John Swinney rejected calls from within the party for people to give their regional list vote to another pro-independence party, saying that in 2011 the system worked for the SNP – resulting in an overall majority. Stewart McDonald came out swinging, stating emphatically that the ‘only strategy that ever delivered a pro-independence majority … was the one that advocated [both votes SNP]. In response to another defection from the party line, Julie Hepburn – a party activist – tweeted that both votes SNP is ‘a proven way to achieve a pro-independence majority,’ and that ‘it worked in 2011.’

Pete Wishart has been going around in circles over social media repeating the exact same message; supporting the SNP with both votes gave the party an overall majority in 2011 and made the 2014 independence referendum possible. On the face of it, this is faultless reasoning. If this strategy worked in the past, and the polls are indicating similar levels of support, then it can work again – it stands to reason that the party should be asking for voters to give them both votes. But this is wrong. The Scottish parliament’s FPTP-D’Hondt mixed member system, widely believed to have been designed to make it difficult for the SNP to get an overall majority, actually works against the SNP now.

Continue reading @ Random Public Journal.

The 2011 Myth

The late Brian Mór drew this in the early 80's at a time when Bob Geldof was condemning Irish Americans for supporting the Republican Movement.  In recent times "Sir Robert" has taken up his righteous hammer of the gods to batter down the Scots.

Bob Lording it Over the Scots

Mick Hall with a piece from Organized Rage on the Scottish referendum debate.
 
 
The Scottish referendum debate has exposed the massive disconnect between ordinary folk and the UK political elite.
 
  • As to the Coalition government and the rest of the UK political elite who are shacked up in Westminster and the gentrified areas of London and the home counties, in recent years they have continuously boasted about the UK punching above it's weight in the international arena, when in reality the referendum debate has exposed them as being unable to even punch their weight in their own back yard.
If ever history needs yet another example of the disconnect between the members of the Tory led Coalition government, led by David Cameron, and the overwhelming majority of those they govern, they need look no further than the Scottish referendum debate. And it's not only within the ruling Coalition where this is displayed, this total lack of empathy and an understanding about what makes ordinary people tick stretches right across the political, business, and media elites.
 
It's as if the germ of neoliberalism which Margaret Thatcher first let loose has infected the generation who now lead the 'mainstream political parties'. It is not an exaggeration to claim they are incapable of thinking outside of the box of what has become the dead weight of the age. Indeed it is even worse than that as they have no solutions to the UK's problems, let alone innovative ones, beyond that is more of the same. They revert to 19th century type thinking and attempt to force the population to take the pain, so they and theirs - the 5% of the population who benefit from neoliberalism - can continue to accumulate even more personal wealth while everyone else suffers, and ring fence it from the rage of the masses were it to explode.
 
Nowhere has the disconnect between ordinary folk and the political elite been greater than in the Scottish referendum debate.
 
With the LP leadership on side, (I will return to this later) the Coalition believed the referendum would have been a walk in the park, when even a glimpse at the 2010 election result should have told them they were in for a tenacious struggle, a peaceful war. At the last election just over 64% of the UK electorate voted against the Tories, and this hatred of the Tories and neoliberalism was especially prevalent in Scotland. Where only one Tory MP was returned to the Westminster Parliament making Scotland politically almost a Tory free zone.
 
If you add in the record of the Tory led coalition since they came to power, student fees, benefit cuts, especially of the sick and disabled, the bedroom tax, tax cuts for the rich, and more foreign wars, only a political illiterate or an arrogant fool who doesn't get out much would not have foreseen the Scottish independence referendum could lead to the break up of the UK.
 
Being creatures of habit who believe they are born to rule, once they saw the polls going against them, the English ruling class reached for the tools which until now have served their class well throughout their grubby and bloody history. First they tried selling the Scottish people bullshit and bluster in an attempt to get them to remain within the union, when that failed they tried threats about the currency, national debt, oil running out, and industry and commerce moving south. Which was a bit rich given it was UK governments who deliberately decimated Scotland's industrial heartlands.
 
Finally last weekend they tried bribes and false promises. As if these proud and independent minded people were 18th century native Americans willing to accept trinkets equal to what can be brought in Pound-land, and promises which could be abandoned by whoever is elected in 2015.
 
What a joy it must be to be a Scot these days
 
Not only are they on the brink of righting a historic wrong, during the course of the referendum debate they have come to believe in great numbers there is a better way and more importantly millions of them now have the confidence to put it into practise.
 
If the yes vote wins on the day, they will have a blank sheet on which to build a new nation, and in the process they will prove there is another way from the neoliberal sinkhole of low wage, low skilled economies, kept afloat by the roulette wheel spin of the markets and financial shenanigans of the Banksters. A country in which every citizen is cherished and valued equally, a society which develops the best from the past, the NHS, the Welfare state, social housing, organised labour, co-operatives, manufacturing and service industries which offer workers a decent days wage, for a decent days work, and publicly owned amenities, utilities, and services, including those which have failed their consumers so dismally since privatisation.
 
All this and more will be for the Scottish people to decide if they vote yes next week. What an adventure it would be, a challenge for sure, but what a magnificent prize they have within their grasp. If successful, and I believe they can be, they will make history gasp. In all probability it would finish the Tories down here in England as a natural party of government, after all the party which lost the union could hardly continue to masquerade as the Conservative and Unionist Party, its official name without being ridiculed.
 
As for the left, Miliband's blunder in joining the Liberal Democrats and Tories in the no campaign will also have consequences, although I doubt they will fully emerge until after 2016 when Scotland leaves the union and becomes an independent nation. With the loss of the 44 Scottish Labour MP's a realignment of the left will be needed, today there is almost as many former LP members as actual ones, most without a party political home. What is needed is a broad social democratic party which includes people from the soft left, across the political spectrum to the far left. Whether Labour can be that party is doubtful, but what the referendum debate has shown is when such a party exists, even in a modest way, it can achieve momentous things, big and small.
 
As to the Coalition government and the rest of the UK political elite who are shacked up in Westminster and the gentrified areas of London and the home counties, in recent years they have continuously boasted about the UK punching above it's weight in the international arena, when in reality the referendum debate has exposed them as being unable to even punch their own weight in their back yard.
 
Whatever the outcome on the 18th September one thing is for sure, politics on these islands will never be the same.

Exposing the Massive Disconnect

Mick Hall with a piece on Scottish Independence which initially featured on his blog Organized Rage on 10 February 2014.


Forced evictions by English landlords

By Oppression's woes and pains!
By your sons in servile chains!
We will drain our dearest veins,
But they shall be free!


Lay the proud usurpers low!
Tyrants fall in every foe!
Liberty's in every blow!
Let us do or die!”

The Scottish Independence Referendum: You have sat too long for any good you have been doing lately... Depart I say.